HOME	PRODUCTS	FORECASTS	IMAGERY	ABOUT TPC	RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KEITH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  11A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 AM CDT SUN OCT 01 2000

...DANGEROUS INNER CORE OF HURRICANE KEITH EDGING ONTO THE COASTS OF
YUCATAN AND BELIZE...
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF THE
YUCATAN PENINSULA AND BELIZE FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO MONKEY
RIVER TOWN.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN AND SOUTHERN GULF OF
MEXICO SHOULD MONITOR THE PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 7 AM CDT...1200Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  87.5 WEST OR ABOUT 55 MILES...90
KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO.
 
KEITH HAS BEEN MEANDERING OVER THE PAST FEW HOURS...BUT THE OVERALL
MOTION IS A DRIFT TO THE WEST-NORTHWEST.  LITTLE MOVEMENT IS LIKELY
TODAY...BUT THE DANGEROUS EYEWALL OF THE HURRICANE IS ALREADY
PARTIALLY OVER LAND.  A SLOW NORTHWARD DRIFT IS EXPECTED TO BEGIN
TONIGHT OR EARLY TOMORROW.

REPORTS FROM AN AIR FORCE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE OVERNIGHT INDICATE
THAT THE MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 135 MPH...215 KM/HR...
WITH HIGHER GUSTS.  THIS MAKES KEITH A CATEGORY FOUR HURRICANE ON
THE SAFFIR/SIMPSON HURRICANE SCALE.  SOME FLUCTUATIONS IN INTENSITY
ARE LIKELY TODAY AND TONIGHT.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  35 MILES... 55 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.

ISLANDS OFFSHORE BELIZE HAVE REPORTED WIND GUSTS TO 69 MPH...
111 KM/HR.  

THE HURRICANE HUNTER PLANE REPORTED A MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 
942 MB...27.82 INCHES.
 
HEAVY RAINS ARE AFFECTING PORTIONS OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE
...HONDURAS AND NICARAGUA.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE LIFE-
THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.
 
STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 6 TO 8 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE WARNING
AREA.
 
REPEATING THE 7 AM CDT POSITION...18.2 N... 87.5 W.  MOVEMENT
DRIFTING WEST-NORTHWEST.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...135 MPH. 
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 942 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 10 AM CDT.
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
NNNN