[NCEP Logo] HOME PRODUCTS FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
HURRICANE KEITH INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER  8A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 PM EDT SAT SEP 30 2000

...KEITH NEARLY STATIONARY...RECONNAISSANCE PLANE IN THE AREA
SHORTLY... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EAST COAST OF YUCATAN
FROM CABO CATOCHE SOUTHWARD TO BELIZE CITY.  THE HURRICANE WARNING
COULD BE EXTENDED SOUTHWARD LATER TODAY.
 
A HURRICANE WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE NORTH COAST OF YUCATAN FROM
WEST OF CABO CATOCHE TO PROGRESO.
 
ALL INTERESTS IN THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
AT 2 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF HURRICANE KEITH WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.6 WEST OR ABOUT 120 MILES
...190 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF CHETUMAL MEXICO. 
 
KEITH HAS BEEN NEARLY STATIONARY DURING THE PAST FEW HOURS BUT IS
EXPECTED TO BEGIN A NORTHWESTWARD DRIFT LATER TODAY.  
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 80 MPH...130 KM/HR... WITH HIGHER
GUSTS TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.  FURTHER STRENGTHENING IS
INDICATED.  A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE WILL BE IN THE AREA SHORTLY.
 
HURRICANE FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 30 MILES... 45 KM...
FROM THE CENTER...AND TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP
TO 140 MILES...220 KM.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 982 MB...28.99 INCHES.
 
BANDS OF HEAVY RAINS ARE ALREADY AFFECTING PORTIONS OF EASTERN
YUCATAN...BELIZE AND NORTHERN HONDURAS.  THESE RAINS COULD PRODUCE
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES. 

STORM SURGE FLOODING OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS...ALONG
WITH LARGE BATTERING WAVES...ARE LIKELY OVER PORTIONS OF THE
HURRICANE WARNING AREA.

REPEATING THE 2 PM EDT POSITION...18.0 N... 86.6 W.  MOVEMENT...
NEARLY STATIONARY.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS... 80 MPH.  MINIMUM
CENTRAL PRESSURE...982 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER AT
5 PM EDT.
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
NNNN


Problems?