[NCEP Logo] HOME PRODUCTS FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIATCPAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
2 AM AST SUN OCT 1 2000

...JOYCE REMAINS A WEAK TROPICAL STORM...HEADING TOWARD THE 
WINDWARD ISLANDS...
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR TOBAGO...AND GRENADA AND
ITS DEPENDENCIES.  A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR
BARBADOS...ST. LUCIA...ST. VINCENT...AND THE GRENADINES.

AT 2 AM AST...0600Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF TRINIDAD HAS DOWNGRADED THE
TROPICAL STORM WARNING TO A TROPICAL STORM WATCH FOR TRINIDAD.

INTERESTS ALONG THE NORTHEAST COAST OF VENEZUELA SHOULD MONITOR THE
PROGRESS OF THIS STORM.
 
AT 5 AM AST...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM JOYCE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 11.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE  58.9 WEST
OR ABOUT 115 MILES...185 KM...EAST OF TOBAGO.
 
JOYCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH...20 KM/HR...
AND THIS MOTION IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.  ON
THIS TRACK...THE CENTER WILL MOVE ACROSS THE WINDWARD ISLANDS THIS
AFTERNOON AND EVENING.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR  45 MPH... 75 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS.  SOME SLIGHT STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT
24 HOURS.  HOWEVER...AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT
WILL INVESTIGATE JOYCE LATER THIS MORNING AND PROVIDE MORE DETAILED
INFORMATION ON THE EXACT STRENGTH AND LOCATION OF THIS SYSTEM.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO  60 MILES
... 95 KM FROM THE CENTER.
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1003 MB...29.62 INCHES.
  
REPEATING THE 2 AM AST POSITION...11.0 N... 58.9 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...WEST-NORTHWEST NEAR 13 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 45 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1003 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER 
AT 5 AM AST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
  
NNNN


Problems?