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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE ADVISORY NUMBER  19A
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
8 PM AST FRI SEP 15 2000

...FLORENCE NEAR HURRICANE STRENGTH...EXPECTED TO PASS NEAR BERMUDA
ON SATURDAY... 
 
A HURRICANE WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR BERMUDA. 

AT 8 PM AST...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE
WAS LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 30.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE  67.5 WEST
OR ABOUT 200 MILES..320 KM...WEST-SOUTHWEST OF BERMUDA.
 
FLORENCE IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH...32 KM/HR.

A GRADUAL TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH AN INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED TONIGHT AND INTO SATURDAY MORNING.  THIS MOTION WILL BRING
THE CENTER OF FLORENCE VERY NEAR THE ISLAND OF BERMUDA DURING THE
EARLY MORNING HOURS ON SATURDAY.
 
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED AND ARE NEAR  70 MPH... 
110 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS MAINLY TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF
THE CENTER.  SOME STRENGTHENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS
AND FLORENCE MAY BECOME A MINIMAL HURRICANE LATER TONIGHT OR ON
SATURDAY.
 
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 170 MILES...275 KM
TO THE EAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER.
 
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 994 MB...29.35 INCHES
BASED ON A RECONNAISSANCE PLANE REPORT EARLIER THIS AFTERNOON.
 
REPEATING THE 8 PM AST POSITION...30.8 N... 67.5 W.  MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST-NORTHEAST NEAR 20 MPH.  MAXIMUM SUSTAINED
WINDS... 70 MPH.  MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE... 994 MB.
 
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...PLEASE MONITOR
PRODUCTS ISSUED BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
 
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 11 PM AST.
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
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