ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
HURRICANE MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST THU OCT 19 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 41.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 60.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST SUN OCT 22 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
49.5N 51.5W 23 X X X 23 BURGEO NFLD 14 X X X 14
SABLE ISLAND NS 12 X X X 12 ILE ST PIERRE 28 X X X 28
SYDNEY NS 4 X X X 4 CAPE RACE NFLD 34 X X X 34
PTX BASQUES NFLD 5 X X X 5 HIBERNIA OILFLD 13 X X X 13
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
C FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
D FROM 8AM SAT TO 8AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Problems?