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HURRICANE MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT WED OCT 18 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 31.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE  70.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SAT OCT 21 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
34.7N  68.5W      41  4  X  X 45   EASTPORT ME        X  X  6  X  6
38.7N  64.5W       X 17  6  X 23   ST JOHN NB         X  X  7  X  7
44.0N  58.5W       X  X 10  X 10   MONCTON NB         X  X  7  X  7
BERMUDA            X  2  X  X  2   YARMOUTH NS        X  1 10  X 11
MONTAUK POINT NY   X  2  1  X  3   HALIFAX NS         X  X 11  X 11
PROVIDENCE RI      X  2  1  X  3   SABLE ISLAND NS    X  X 12  X 12
NANTUCKET MA       X  4  3  X  7   SYDNEY NS          X  X  7  X  7
HYANNIS MA         X  3  3  X  6   EDDY POINT NS      X  X  9  X  9
BOSTON MA          X  1  2  X  3   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  X  4  X  4
PORTLAND ME        X  1  2  X  3   BURGEO NFLD        X  X  3  X  3
BAR HARBOR ME      X  X  5  X  5   ILE ST PIERRE      X  X  3  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM THU TO  2PM THU
C FROM  2PM THU TO  2AM FRI
D FROM  2AM FRI TO  2AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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