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HURRICANE MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT TUE OCT 17 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 71.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI OCT 20 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
32.2N 69.8W 41 X X X 41 ST JOHN NB X X 1 9 10
34.5N 68.0W 4 18 6 X 28 MONCTON NB X X X 10 10
39.0N 64.0W X X 11 5 16 YARMOUTH NS X X 2 9 11
BERMUDA X 3 8 1 12 HALIFAX NS X X 1 11 12
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 1 3 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 12 12
PROVIDENCE RI X X 2 2 4 SYDNEY NS X X X 11 11
NANTUCKET MA X X 4 3 7 EDDY POINT NS X X X 11 11
HYANNIS MA X X 3 3 6 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 10 10
BOSTON MA X X 2 2 4 BURGEO NFLD X X X 9 9
PORTLAND ME X X 1 4 5 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 9 9
BAR HARBOR ME X X 1 7 8 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 6 6
EASTPORT ME X X 1 8 9 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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