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TROPICAL STORM MICHAEL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT TUE OCT 17 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF MICHAEL WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 70.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT FRI OCT 20 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.1N 70.2W 49 X X X 49 BOSTON MA X X 1 6 7
33.2N 69.5W 9 11 1 X 21 PORTLAND ME X X X 6 6
35.5N 67.5W X 9 5 2 16 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7
BERMUDA X 4 4 2 10 EASTPORT ME X X X 8 8
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 1 1 2 ST JOHN NB X X X 8 8
WILMINGTON NC X X 2 2 4 MONCTON NB X X X 7 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 1 3 2 6 YARMOUTH NS X X 1 9 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 5 2 8 HALIFAX NS X X X 10 10
NORFOLK VA X X 3 2 5 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 11 11
OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 4 6 SYDNEY NS X X X 9 9
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 4 6 EDDY POINT NS X X X 10 10
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 5 6 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 7 7
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 2 6 8 BURGEO NFLD X X X 7 7
PROVIDENCE RI X X 1 6 7 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 8 8
NANTUCKET MA X X 2 8 10 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 6 6
HYANNIS MA X X 2 7 9 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM WED TO 2PM WED
C FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
D FROM 2AM THU TO 2AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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