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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU OCT 05 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 77.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT SUN OCT 8 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.5N 73.5W 29 1 X X 30 MYNN 251N 775W X 1 1 1 3
31.0N 71.0W 4 12 1 1 18 MYGF 266N 787W X 1 2 X 3
32.0N 68.5W X 7 5 3 15 BERMUDA X 1 4 6 11
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 1 2 4 MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 1 1 2
MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 1 2 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 1 2
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
C FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
D FROM 2AM SAT TO 2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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