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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED OCT 04 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 79.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.6N 76.3W 29 X X X 29 FT PIERCE FL 2 4 X 1 7
31.1N 73.5W 3 12 1 1 17 COCOA BEACH FL 4 3 X 1 8
31.5N 70.0W X 4 6 3 13 DAYTONA BEACH FL 13 X X 1 14
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2 JACKSONVILLE FL 2 2 X X 4
MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 2 3 SAVANNAH GA 6 1 X X 7
MYSM 241N 745W X 1 3 2 6 CHARLESTON SC 4 2 X 1 7
MYEG 235N 758W X 1 2 1 4 MYRTLE BEACH SC 1 3 1 X 5
MYAK 241N 776W X 1 2 1 4 WILMINGTON NC X 3 2 X 5
MYNN 251N 775W X 3 2 1 6 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 4 1 1 6
MYGF 266N 787W 3 5 1 X 9 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 3 2 1 6
BERMUDA X X 2 7 9 NORFOLK VA X X 1 1 2
MIAMI FL X 2 1 X 3 OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 1 2
W PALM BEACH FL 1 3 1 X 5 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM THU TO 8AM FRI
C FROM 8AM FRI TO 8PM FRI
D FROM 8PM FRI TO 8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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