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SUBTROPICAL DEPRESSION ONE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT WED OCT 04 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT SAT OCT 7 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
31.7N 78.2W 30 X X 1 31 WILMINGTON NC 2 9 2 X 13
32.5N 75.9W 5 9 2 X 16 MOREHEAD CITY NC 1 8 3 1 13
33.0N 72.5W X 3 6 3 12 CAPE HATTERAS NC X 6 4 2 12
MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2 NORFOLK VA X 3 4 2 9
MYMM 224N 730W X X 1 1 2 OCEAN CITY MD X 1 3 3 7
MYSM 241N 745W X X 2 2 4 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 2 3 5
MYEG 235N 758W X X 1 1 2 NEW YORK CITY NY X X 1 3 4
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 3 4
MYNN 251N 775W X 1 2 1 4 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 4 4
MYGF 266N 787W X 4 1 1 6 NANTUCKET MA X X X 4 4
BERMUDA X X X 7 7 HYANNIS MA X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL X 1 1 X 2 BOSTON MA X X X 3 3
W PALM BEACH FL X 3 1 X 4 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
FT PIERCE FL 2 4 X X 6 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL 11 1 X 1 13 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL 99 X X X 99 YARMOUTH NS X X X 2 2
JACKSONVILLE FL 99 X X X 99 TAMPA FL 1 1 X X 2
SAVANNAH GA 23 1 X X 24 CEDAR KEY FL 2 1 1 X 4
CHARLESTON SC 15 3 X X 18 ST MARKS FL 1 1 X X 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC 6 8 1 X 15
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM THU TO 2AM FRI
C FROM 2AM FRI TO 2PM FRI
D FROM 2PM FRI TO 2PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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