ZCZC MIASPFAT5 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 23
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT WED OCT 04 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 92.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT SAT OCT 7 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.3N 94.5W 49 X X X 49 GALVESTON TX X X X 6 6
22.4N 95.8W 20 10 X 1 31 FREEPORT TX X X X 7 7
23.5N 97.0W 1 18 3 1 23 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 9 9
MMSO 238N 982W X 12 6 2 20 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 10 11
MMTM 222N 979W 1 17 2 1 21 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 9 6 15
MMTX 210N 974W 4 10 2 1 17 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
MMVR 192N 961W 1 2 1 2 6 GULF 28N 91W X X X 3 3
MMFR 185N 926W 46 X 1 X 47 GULF 28N 93W X X X 6 6
MMMD 210N 897W X 2 2 1 5 GULF 28N 95W X X X 9 9
NEW IBERIA LA X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X 2 10 12
PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 4 4 GULF 25N 96W X 4 9 4 17
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM THU TO 1PM THU
C FROM 1PM THU TO 1AM FRI
D FROM 1AM FRI TO 1AM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
NNNN
Problems?
![[NCEP Logo]](/graphics/ncep.gif){kind=small}