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TROPICAL STORM KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 19
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 AM CDT TUE OCT 03 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 AM CDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1AM CDT FRI OCT 6 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
20.1N 90.2W 54 X X X 54 GULFPORT MS X X X 5 5
21.3N 90.9W 28 4 X X 32 BURAS LA X X X 7 7
23.0N 91.5W 2 16 2 2 22 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 7 7
MUSN 216N 826W X X X 2 2 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 8 8
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 2 2 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 8 8
MUAN 219N 850W X X 2 4 6 GALVESTON TX X X X 9 9
MMCZ 205N 869W 5 4 2 2 13 FREEPORT TX X X X 9 9
MZBZ 175N 883W 99 X X X 99 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 8 9
MMSO 238N 982W X X 2 4 6 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X 1 7 8
MMTM 222N 979W X X 1 4 5 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 3 6 9
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
MMFR 185N 926W 1 2 1 2 6 GULF 28N 89W X X X 8 8
MMMD 210N 897W 40 1 X X 41 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 9 10
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 10 11
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 10 11
PENSACOLA FL X X X 4 4 GULF 27N 96W X X 3 8 11
MOBILE AL X X X 4 4 GULF 25N 96W X 1 6 5 12
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED
C FROM 1PM WED TO 1AM THU
D FROM 1AM THU TO 1AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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