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TROPICAL STORM KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 18
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT MON OCT 02 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT THU OCT 5 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.0N 88.6W 52 X X X 52 GULFPORT MS X X X 5 5
20.4N 89.4W 22 8 X X 30 BURAS LA X X X 7 7
22.5N 90.5W X 16 6 1 23 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 6 6
MUAN 219N 850W X X 3 3 6 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 7 7
MMCZ 205N 869W 17 3 X 1 21 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 8 8
MZBZ 175N 883W 99 X X X 99 GALVESTON TX X X X 8 8
MGPB 157N 886W 1 2 X 1 4 FREEPORT TX X X 1 7 8
MHNJ 165N 859W 2 2 2 X 6 PORT O CONNOR TX X X 1 7 8
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 5 5 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 7 7
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 4 4 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 1 7 8
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MMFR 185N 926W X 1 1 4 6 GULF 28N 89W X X X 8 8
MMMD 210N 897W 9 17 1 X 27 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 9 10
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 93W X X 2 9 11
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 9 10
PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3 GULF 27N 96W X X 1 9 10
MOBILE AL X X X 4 4 GULF 25N 96W X X 2 8 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM TUE TO 7AM WED
C FROM 7AM WED TO 7PM WED
D FROM 7PM WED TO 7PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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