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HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT MON OCT 02 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 88.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT THU OCT 5 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.9N 88.8W 49 X X X 49 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
20.4N 89.3W 18 11 1 X 30 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
22.0N 90.0W X 12 8 2 22 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 2 2 5 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 3 2 5 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MUAN 219N 850W X 7 5 2 14 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
MMCZ 205N 869W 12 11 1 X 24 BURAS LA X X X 6 6
MZBZ 175N 883W 99 X X X 99 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 5 5
MGPB 157N 886W 3 X X X 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 6 6
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 7 7 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 6 6
MMTM 222N 979W X X 1 6 7 GALVESTON TX X X X 7 7
MMTX 210N 974W X X 1 5 6 FREEPORT TX X X X 7 7
MMVR 192N 961W X X 2 2 4 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 7 7
MMFR 185N 926W X 7 2 1 10 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 7 7
MMMD 210N 897W 4 20 1 X 25 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 8 8
MARATHON FL X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 85W X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
KEY WEST FL X X 1 3 4 GULF 28N 89W X X X 9 9
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 91W X X X 9 9
FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 93W X X X 9 9
VENICE FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 95W X X X 8 8
TAMPA FL X X X 3 3 GULF 27N 96W X X X 9 9
CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X X X 10 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM TUE TO 1AM WED
C FROM 1AM WED TO 1PM WED
D FROM 1PM WED TO 1PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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