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HURRICANE KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT SUN OCT 01 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.6 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT WED OCT 4 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.6N 88.0W 99 X X X 99 TAMPA FL X X X 3 3
20.0N 88.4W 16 12 X X 28 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
21.5N 89.0W X 15 6 1 22 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 2 3 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 1 4 3 8 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 4 4 8 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MUAN 219N 850W 1 8 6 2 17 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MMCZ 205N 869W 18 9 1 X 28 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
MZBZ 175N 883W 99 X X X 99 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
MGPB 157N 886W 5 X X X 5 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 5 5
MHNJ 165N 859W 3 X X X 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 4 4
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 4 4 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 4 4
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 3 3 GALVESTON TX X X X 4 4
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 4 4
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 4 4
MMFR 185N 926W X 1 1 2 4 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 4 4
MMMD 210N 897W X 16 4 1 21 BROWNSVILLE TX X X X 5 5
MARATHON FL X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X X 8 8
FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X X 8 8
KEY WEST FL X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 93W X X X 7 7
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 95W X X X 6 6
FT MYERS FL X X X 4 4 GULF 27N 96W X X X 6 6
VENICE FL X X X 4 4 GULF 25N 96W X X X 7 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
C FROM 7PM MON TO 7AM TUE
D FROM 7AM TUE TO 7AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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