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TROPICAL STORM KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT SAT SEP 30 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 86.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM EDT TUE OCT 3 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
19.5N 87.0W 52 X X X 52 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
20.4N 87.2W 34 X 1 X 35 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
21.5N 87.5W 11 9 2 1 23 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MWCG 193N 814W X 1 2 4 7 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 3 3
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 4 5 PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X 2 3 5 10 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 2 6 8 GULFPORT MS X X X 3 3
MUAN 219N 850W 5 6 3 3 17 BURAS LA X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W 32 1 X X 33 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 4 4
MZBZ 175N 883W 10 2 X 1 13 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 3 3
MGPB 157N 886W X X X 3 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 5 1 1 2 9 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 3 3 FREEPORT TX X X X 2 2
MMMD 210N 897W 1 10 4 2 17 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 89W X X X 7 7
KEY WEST FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 7 7
MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 4 4 GULF 28N 93W X X X 5 5
FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 95W X X X 3 3
VENICE FL X X X 4 4 GULF 27N 96W X X X 3 3
TAMPA FL X X X 3 3 GULF 25N 96W X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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