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TROPICAL STORM KEITH PROBABILITIES NUMBER 5
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM EDT FRI SEP 29 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF KEITH WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT MON OCT 2 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.4N 85.2W 99 X X X 99 W PALM BEACH FL X X X 2 2
19.0N 85.5W 35 X X 1 36 FT PIERCE FL X X X 2 2
20.0N 85.7W 19 5 1 1 26 COCOA BEACH FL X X X 2 2
MKJS 185N 779W X X X 2 2 KEY WEST FL X X 1 6 7
MWCG 193N 814W 1 2 4 4 11 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 2 2 FT MYERS FL X X X 4 4
MUCF 221N 805W X X 1 6 7 VENICE FL X X X 4 4
MUSN 216N 826W X 4 5 4 13 TAMPA FL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 4 6 10 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 1 10 4 4 19 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
MMCZ 205N 869W 4 11 3 2 20 APALACHICOLA FL X X X 3 3
MZBZ 175N 883W 1 3 2 5 11 PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 5 6 PENSACOLA FL X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 43 X X X 43 MOBILE AL X X X 2 2
MNPC 141N 834W X 1 1 4 6 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
MNBL 120N 839W X X X 2 2 BURAS LA X X X 2 2
SKSP 126N 817W X X X 2 2 GULF 29N 85W X X X 3 3
MMFR 185N 926W X X X 3 3 GULF 29N 87W X X X 4 4
MMMD 210N 897W X 1 4 6 11 GULF 28N 89W X X X 4 4
MARATHON FL X X X 5 5 GULF 28N 91W X X X 3 3
MIAMI FL X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM SAT TO 2AM SUN
C FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
D FROM 2PM SUN TO 2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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