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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FIFTEEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM EDT FRI SEP 29 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM EDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 84.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM EDT MON OCT 2 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
18.0N 84.7W 99 X X X 99 MNPC 141N 834W X X 1 4 5
18.5N 85.0W 37 X 1 X 38 SKSP 126N 817W X X X 2 2
19.5N 85.0W 17 6 1 1 25 MYAK 241N 776W X X X 2 2
MKJP 179N 768W X X X 3 3 MMFR 185N 926W X X X 3 3
MKJS 185N 779W X X 1 4 5 MMMD 210N 897W X 1 5 6 12
MWCG 193N 814W 4 4 4 3 15 MARATHON FL X X X 5 5
MUCM 214N 779W X X X 4 4 MIAMI FL X X X 2 2
MUCF 221N 805W X X 2 6 8 KEY WEST FL X X X 6 6
MUSN 216N 826W X 2 6 5 13 MARCO ISLAND FL X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X X 2 8 10 FT MYERS FL X X X 3 3
MUAN 219N 850W X 4 7 5 16 VENICE FL X X X 2 2
MMCZ 205N 869W X 10 5 3 18 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
MZBZ 175N 883W 1 4 3 3 11 GULF 29N 87W X X X 2 2
MGPB 157N 886W X X 1 4 5 GULF 28N 89W X X X 2 2
MHNJ 165N 859W 20 X 1 1 22 GULF 28N 91W X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
C FROM 8PM SAT TO 8AM SUN
D FROM 8AM SUN TO 8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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