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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  27
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST MON OCT 02 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 12.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST THU OCT  5 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.7N  69.9W      54  X  X  X 54   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1  7  8
14.5N  72.5W       2 36  X  X 38   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  7  7
15.2N  75.0W       X  8 20  X 28   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  6  6
SKPG 125N 717W     9 17  X  X 26   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  7  7
TNCC 122N 690W    37  X  X  X 37   MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  4  4
MDCB 176N 714W     X  7  5  1 13   MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  3  3
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1  6  1  8   MMCZ 205N 869W     X  X  X  2  2
MTCA 183N 738W     X  1 10  3 14   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  3  3
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  8 11 19   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  6  6
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  2 15 17   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  X  6  6
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X 14 14
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
C FROM  2PM TUE TO  2AM WED
D FROM  2AM WED TO  2AM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER JARVINEN
 
 
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