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TROPICAL DEPRESSION JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  25
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST SUN OCT 01 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 11.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  62.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST WED OCT  4 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
13.0N  67.0W      54  1  X  X 55   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  2 14 16
15.0N  70.0W       X 33  X  X 33   MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  X 14 14
14.5N  73.0W       X  6 19  1 26   MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  9  9
SKPG 125N 717W     X  7 10  X 17   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  1  6  7
TNCC 122N 690W     6 22  1  X 29   MUCM 214N 779W     X  X  X  4  4
SVMG 110N 640W    68  X  X  X 68   MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  X  2  2
TGPY 120N 618W    99  X  X  X 99   MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     2  X  X  X  2   MHNJ 165N 859W     X  X  X  2  2
TJPS 180N 666W     X  2  1  X  3   MNPC 141N 834W     X  X  X  6  6
MDSD 185N 697W     X  4  5  1 10   MNBL 120N 839W     X  X  X  2  2
MDCB 176N 714W     X  6 12  X 18   SKSP 126N 817W     X  X  X  7  7
MTPP 186N 724W     X  1  7  3 11   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  2  2  4
MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  7  7 14   PONCE PR           X  2  1  X  3
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
C FROM  2AM TUE TO  2PM TUE
D FROM  2PM TUE TO  2PM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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