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TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  17
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 29 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  51.0 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON OCT  2 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
11.5N  55.0W      54  X  X  X 54   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  6 11 17
12.5N  57.0W       5 26  X  1 32   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  3 12 15
13.5N  59.0W       X 13  9  2 24   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  1 13 14
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  1  8  9   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X 11 11
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  7  5 12   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X 10 10
TTPT 112N 608W     X  1 11  3 15   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  8  8
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  9  7 16   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  6  6
TBPB 131N 595W     X 10 11  2 23   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  6  6
TVSV 131N 612W     X  1 13  5 19   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X 10 10
TLPL 138N 610W     X  1 14  5 20   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  8  8
TFFF 146N 610W     X  1 12  6 19   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  6  6
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X 10  8 18   PONCE PR           X  X  X  6  6
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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