[NCEP Logo] HOME PRODUCTS FORECASTS IMAGERY ABOUT TPC RECONNAISSANCE

ZCZC MIASPFAT4 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL STORM JOYCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST FRI SEP 29 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF JOYCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 10.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  49.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST MON OCT  2 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
11.0N  53.0W      53  X  X  X 53   TFFR 163N 615W     X  X  X 15 15
11.5N  55.0W       6 25  X  X 31   TAPA 171N 618W     X  X  X 13 13
12.5N  57.0W       X 13 10  1 24   TKPK 173N 627W     X  X  X 11 11
SVMG 110N 640W     X  X  X  6  6   TNCM 181N 631W     X  X  X  8  8
TTPP 106N 614W     X  X  2  9 11   TISX 177N 648W     X  X  X  6  6
TTPT 112N 608W     X  X  5  9 14   TIST 183N 650W     X  X  X  4  4
TGPY 120N 618W     X  X  2 11 13   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  X  2  2
TBPB 131N 595W     X  X 12  7 19   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  X  2  2
TVSV 131N 612W     X  X  3 13 16   ST CROIX VI        X  X  X  6  6
TLPL 138N 610W     X  X  3 14 17   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  X  4  4
TFFF 146N 610W     X  X  2 15 17   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  X  2  2
TDPR 153N 614W     X  X  1 15 16   PONCE PR           X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM SAT TO  8PM SAT
C FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
D FROM  8AM SUN TO  8AM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
NNNN


Problems?