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TROPICAL STORM HELENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT THU SEP 21 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.1 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT SUN SEP 24 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
33.0N 84.0W 36 X X X 36 HYANNIS MA X X X 9 9
35.0N 81.0W 2 19 1 X 22 BOSTON MA X X X 8 8
36.5N 76.5W X 1 13 2 16 PORTLAND ME X X X 6 6
BERMUDA X X X 4 4 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 5 5
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 1 X 2 EASTPORT ME X X X 4 4
DAYTONA BEACH FL 1 4 1 X 6 ST JOHN NB X X X 4 4
JACKSONVILLE FL 11 6 X X 17 MONCTON NB X X X 3 3
SAVANNAH GA 12 11 X X 23 YARMOUTH NS X X X 5 5
CHARLESTON SC 2 17 1 X 20 HALIFAX NS X X X 3 3
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 13 6 1 20 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 2 2
WILMINGTON NC X 8 10 X 18 EDDY POINT NS X X X 2 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC X 3 13 1 17 CEDAR KEY FL 8 2 X X 10
CAPE HATTERAS NC X 1 12 2 15 ST MARKS FL 47 X X X 47
NORFOLK VA X 1 12 2 15 APALACHICOLA FL 64 X X X 64
OCEAN CITY MD X X 8 5 13 PANAMA CITY FL 76 X X X 76
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 5 7 12 PENSACOLA FL 67 X X X 67
NEW YORK CITY NY X X 2 8 10 MOBILE AL 21 X X X 21
MONTAUK POINT NY X X 1 9 10 GULFPORT MS 2 X X X 2
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 9 9 GULF 29N 85W 58 X X X 58
NANTUCKET MA X X X 9 9 GULF 29N 87W 99 X X X 99
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
C FROM 7AM SAT TO 7PM SAT
D FROM 7PM SAT TO 7PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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