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TROPICAL STORM HELENE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 13
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU SEP 21 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE CENTER OF HELENE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 26.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SUN SEP 24 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.4N 87.0W 33 X X X 33 TAMPA FL 1 4 5 X 10
32.0N 85.5W 9 13 1 X 23 CEDAR KEY FL 4 7 3 X 14
33.5N 82.5W X 6 11 X 17 ST MARKS FL 13 5 2 X 20
MIAMI FL X X 2 X 2 APALACHICOLA FL 22 1 1 X 24
W PALM BEACH FL X X 3 X 3 PANAMA CITY FL 27 X 1 X 28
FT PIERCE FL X X 4 X 4 PENSACOLA FL 31 1 X X 32
COCOA BEACH FL X 1 5 X 6 MOBILE AL 27 X X X 27
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 2 8 X 10 GULFPORT MS 23 1 X X 24
JACKSONVILLE FL 1 4 9 X 14 BURAS LA 23 X X X 23
SAVANNAH GA X 3 11 X 14 NEW ORLEANS LA 12 1 1 X 14
CHARLESTON SC X 1 9 X 10 NEW IBERIA LA 1 1 X X 2
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 5 X 5 GULF 29N 85W 22 1 1 X 24
WILMINGTON NC X X 3 X 3 GULF 29N 87W 49 X X X 49
MARCO ISLAND FL X X 3 X 3 GULF 28N 89W 39 X X X 39
FT MYERS FL X 1 4 X 5 GULF 28N 91W 1 1 X X 2
VENICE FL X 2 5 X 7
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
C FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
D FROM 7AM SAT TO 7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
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