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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED SEP 20 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  86.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT SEP 23 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.7N  87.4W      37  2  X  X 39   APALACHICOLA FL   15 10  1  X 26
32.5N  85.5W       1 25  1  X 27   PANAMA CITY FL    21 10  X  X 31
34.5N  82.0W       X  1 16  X 17   PENSACOLA FL      28  8  X  X 36
COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  2  X  2   MOBILE AL         24  9  X  X 33
DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  1  5  X  6   GULFPORT MS       22  6  X  X 28
JACKSONVILLE FL    X  3  9  X 12   BURAS LA          24  1  X  X 25
SAVANNAH GA        X  2 12  X 14   NEW ORLEANS LA    12  4  X  X 16
CHARLESTON SC      X  X 11  X 11   NEW IBERIA LA      1  1  X  X  2
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  X  7  X  7   GULF 29N 85W      18  6  X  X 24
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  4  X  4   GULF 29N 87W      42  X  X  X 42
TAMPA FL           X  2  2  X  4   GULF 28N 89W      38  X  X  X 38
CEDAR KEY FL       1  6  4  X 11   GULF 28N 91W       5  X  X  X  5
ST MARKS FL        5 15  1  X 21
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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