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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE SPECIAL PROBABILITIES NUMBER 6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
7 PM EDT TUE SEP 19 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 7 PM EDT...2300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE 80.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM EDT FRI SEP 22 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
22.0N 84.5W 50 1 X X 51 MARCO ISLAND FL X 2 4 6 12
24.0N 86.0W 4 32 X X 36 FT MYERS FL X 1 5 7 13
26.0N 86.5W X 13 13 1 27 VENICE FL X 1 7 7 15
MWCG 193N 814W 79 X X X 79 TAMPA FL X X 5 9 14
MUCF 221N 805W 23 X X 1 24 CEDAR KEY FL X X 3 11 14
MUSN 216N 826W 73 X X X 73 ST MARKS FL X X 1 14 15
MUHA 230N 824W 42 X X X 42 APALACHICOLA FL X X 3 14 17
MUAN 219N 850W 43 2 X X 45 PANAMA CITY FL X X 3 14 17
MMCZ 205N 869W 3 8 X X 11 PENSACOLA FL X X 1 15 16
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 MOBILE AL X X 1 14 15
MYGF 266N 787W X X X 5 5 GULFPORT MS X X 1 13 14
MARATHON FL 1 1 1 5 8 BURAS LA X X 1 13 14
MIAMI FL X X 1 6 7 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 12 12
W PALM BEACH FL X X X 8 8 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 8 8
FT PIERCE FL X X X 9 9 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 3 3
COCOA BEACH FL X X X 9 9 GALVESTON TX X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X X 10 10 GULF 29N 85W X X 7 11 18
JACKSONVILLE FL X X X 10 10 GULF 29N 87W X X 7 12 19
SAVANNAH GA X X X 6 6 GULF 28N 89W X X 7 9 16
CHARLESTON SC X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 9 10
KEY WEST FL 4 5 1 2 12 GULF 28N 93W X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM WED TO 2AM THU
C FROM 2AM THU TO 2PM THU
D FROM 2PM THU TO 2PM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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