ZCZC MIASPFAT2 ALL
TTAA00 KNHC DDHHMM
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 16 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 16.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 55.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2AM AST TUE SEP 19 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
16.5N 59.6W 53 X X X 53 TJPS 180N 666W X 2 17 2 21
16.5N 62.8W X 33 X X 33 MDSD 185N 697W X X 4 13 17
16.5N 66.0W X 5 18 1 24 MDCB 176N 714W X X 1 16 17
SKPG 125N 717W X X X 9 9 MTPP 186N 724W X X X 15 15
TNCC 122N 690W X X 1 8 9 MTCA 183N 738W X X X 13 13
TGPY 120N 618W X 2 1 X 3 MKJP 179N 768W X X X 7 7
TBPB 131N 595W 6 4 X X 10 MKJS 185N 779W X X X 3 3
TVSV 131N 612W 1 8 1 1 11 MUGM 200N 751W X X X 8 8
TLPL 138N 610W 4 14 1 X 19 TJSJ 184N 661W X 3 16 1 20
TFFF 146N 610W 9 19 X 1 29 MDPP 198N 707W X X 1 12 13
TDPR 153N 614W 8 26 X X 34 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 7 7
TFFR 163N 615W 10 29 X X 39 MYMM 224N 730W X X X 4 4
TAPA 171N 618W 5 32 X X 37 ST CROIX VI X 13 11 1 25
TKPK 173N 627W X 32 X X 32 ST THOMAS VI X 9 13 X 22
TNCM 181N 631W X 25 2 X 27 SAN JUAN PR X 3 16 1 20
TISX 177N 648W X 13 11 1 25 PONCE PR X 2 17 2 21
TIST 183N 650W X 9 13 X 22
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2AM SUN TO 2PM SUN
C FROM 2PM SUN TO 2AM MON
D FROM 2AM MON TO 2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER BEVEN
NNNN
Problems?