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TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWELVE PROBABILITIES NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST FRI SEP 15 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 15.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE  53.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2PM AST MON SEP 18 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
16.3N  58.6W      55  X  X  X 55   TIST 183N 650W     X  2 16  3 21
16.5N  61.5W       1 32  X  X 33   TJPS 180N 666W     X  X 13  7 20
16.5N  64.5W       X  7 17  1 25   MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1 16 17
SKPG 125N 717W     X  X  X  6  6   MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X 16 16
TNCC 122N 690W     X  X  X  7  7   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X 14 14
TGPY 120N 618W     X  1  X  1  2   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X 11 11
TBPB 131N 595W     1  3  X  X  4   MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  X  3  3
TVSV 131N 612W     X  4  3  X  7   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  5  5
TLPL 138N 610W     X 12  2  X 14   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X 14  5 19
TFFF 146N 610W     2 20  1  X 23   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X 13 13
TDPR 153N 614W     1 27  1  X 29   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  7  7
TFFR 163N 615W     1 32  X  X 33   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X  3  3
TAPA 171N 618W     X 30  1  X 31   ST CROIX VI        X  3 18  2 23
TKPK 173N 627W     X 22  6  X 28   ST THOMAS VI       X  2 16  3 21
TNCM 181N 631W     X 14  9  1 24   SAN JUAN PR        X  X 14  5 19
TISX 177N 648W     X  3 18  2 23   PONCE PR           X  X 13  7 20
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2PM SAT TO  2AM SUN
C FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
D FROM  2PM SUN TO  2PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER MAYFIELD
 
 
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