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HURRICANE GORDON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 11
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 25.7 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.3 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
29.0N 83.6W 33 X X X 33 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 9 9
31.2N 81.8W 4 16 1 X 21 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 7 7
33.5N 80.0W X 8 7 2 17 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 6 6
MYAK 241N 776W X X 1 1 2 NANTUCKET MA X X X 6 6
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 2 3 HYANNIS MA X X X 6 6
MYGF 266N 787W X 3 3 1 7 BOSTON MA X X X 6 6
MARATHON FL 1 3 1 1 6 PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4
MIAMI FL 2 4 2 1 9 BAR HARBOR ME X X X 3 3
W PALM BEACH FL 4 6 1 1 12 EASTPORT ME X X X 2 2
FT PIERCE FL 7 6 2 X 15 KEY WEST FL 2 2 1 1 6
COCOA BEACH FL 11 6 1 1 19 MARCO ISLAND FL 15 1 X 1 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL 13 8 1 X 22 FT MYERS FL 22 1 X X 23
JACKSONVILLE FL 8 13 1 1 23 VENICE FL 33 X X X 33
SAVANNAH GA X 16 3 X 19 TAMPA FL 33 X X X 33
CHARLESTON SC X 10 6 2 18 CEDAR KEY FL 30 1 X X 31
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 5 8 3 16 ST MARKS FL 18 5 X X 23
WILMINGTON NC X 2 9 4 15 APALACHICOLA FL 20 2 X 1 23
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 7 7 14 PANAMA CITY FL 13 3 1 X 17
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 4 8 12 PENSACOLA FL 2 2 1 X 5
NORFOLK VA X X 4 9 13 GULF 29N 85W 28 X X X 28
OCEAN CITY MD X X 2 9 11 GULF 29N 87W 6 2 1 X 9
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X 1 9 10
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SUN TO 7AM MON
C FROM 7AM MON TO 7PM MON
D FROM 7PM MON TO 7PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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