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TROPICAL STORM GORDON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 10
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT SAT SEP 16 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 24.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 85.7 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT TUE SEP 19 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
27.8N 84.3W 34 1 X X 35 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 4 4
30.0N 83.3W 10 14 1 X 25 NANTUCKET MA X X X 3 3
32.0N 82.0W X 15 4 1 20 HYANNIS MA X X X 3 3
MUHA 230N 824W X 1 1 X 2 BOSTON MA X X X 3 3
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 3 5 PORTLAND ME X X X 2 2
MARATHON FL 1 1 2 1 5 KEY WEST FL 2 3 1 1 7
MIAMI FL 1 1 2 2 6 MARCO ISLAND FL 8 4 1 1 14
W PALM BEACH FL 1 3 2 2 8 FT MYERS FL 12 4 1 X 17
FT PIERCE FL 1 6 3 1 11 VENICE FL 21 1 1 X 23
COCOA BEACH FL 2 9 2 2 15 TAMPA FL 19 4 1 X 24
DAYTONA BEACH FL 3 12 3 1 19 CEDAR KEY FL 17 8 1 X 26
JACKSONVILLE FL 2 16 2 1 21 ST MARKS FL 9 13 2 X 24
SAVANNAH GA X 12 5 2 19 APALACHICOLA FL 13 10 X 1 24
CHARLESTON SC X 6 8 4 18 PANAMA CITY FL 8 11 1 1 21
MYRTLE BEACH SC X 2 9 5 16 PENSACOLA FL 1 7 2 2 12
WILMINGTON NC X 1 7 7 15 MOBILE AL X 2 3 2 7
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 5 8 13 GULFPORT MS X 1 2 2 5
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 2 9 11 BURAS LA X 1 1 2 4
NORFOLK VA X X 2 10 12 NEW ORLEANS LA X X 1 1 2
OCEAN CITY MD X X 1 9 10 GULF 29N 85W 21 5 X X 26
ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 8 8 GULF 29N 87W 7 7 1 1 16
NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 7 7 GULF 28N 89W 1 2 2 1 6
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 5 5
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM SUN TO 1AM MON
C FROM 1AM MON TO 1PM MON
D FROM 1PM MON TO 1PM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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