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TROPICAL STORM GORDON PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 PM CDT FRI SEP 15 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 PM CDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF GORDON WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 22.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.1 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7PM CDT MON SEP 18 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
25.8N 85.0W 34 X X X 34 ATLANTIC CITY NJ X X X 6 6
27.8N 83.8W 11 12 1 1 25 NEW YORK CITY NY X X X 5 5
30.0N 82.0W X 12 8 1 21 MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W 1 X 1 X 2 PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2
MUHA 230N 824W 5 2 1 X 8 NANTUCKET MA X X X 2 2
MUAN 219N 850W 40 X X X 40 HYANNIS MA X X X 2 2
MMCZ 205N 869W 11 X X X 11 BOSTON MA X X X 2 2
MYNN 251N 775W X X 1 1 2 KEY WEST FL 5 5 2 X 12
MYGF 266N 787W X 1 4 3 8 MARCO ISLAND FL 6 9 2 X 17
MARATHON FL 2 5 2 1 10 FT MYERS FL 6 12 1 1 20
MIAMI FL 1 5 4 1 11 VENICE FL 9 12 1 1 23
W PALM BEACH FL X 7 5 1 13 TAMPA FL 5 15 2 1 23
FT PIERCE FL X 9 6 1 16 CEDAR KEY FL 2 16 3 1 22
COCOA BEACH FL X 11 6 2 19 ST MARKS FL X 10 7 1 18
DAYTONA BEACH FL X 12 7 2 21 APALACHICOLA FL 1 10 5 1 17
JACKSONVILLE FL X 9 9 2 20 PANAMA CITY FL X 7 5 2 14
SAVANNAH GA X 3 11 4 18 PENSACOLA FL X 1 4 3 8
CHARLESTON SC X 1 10 6 17 MOBILE AL X X 1 3 4
MYRTLE BEACH SC X X 7 8 15 GULFPORT MS X X 1 2 3
WILMINGTON NC X X 4 10 14 BURAS LA X X 1 1 2
MOREHEAD CITY NC X X 2 11 13 GULF 29N 85W 2 13 3 1 19
CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 11 12 GULF 29N 87W X 6 4 1 11
NORFOLK VA X X 1 10 11 GULF 28N 89W X 1 2 1 4
OCEAN CITY MD X X X 8 8
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7PM SAT TO 7AM SUN
C FROM 7AM SUN TO 7PM SUN
D FROM 7PM SUN TO 7PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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