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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
4 PM CDT THU SEP 14 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 4 PM CDT...2100Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.9 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 1PM CDT SUN SEP 17 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.2N 89.5W 45 X X X 45 GULFPORT MS X X X 2 2
21.9N 90.4W 26 2 1 X 29 BURAS LA X X X 4 4
22.5N 91.0W 10 12 1 1 24 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 3 3
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 2 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 4 4
MUHA 230N 824W X X 1 2 3 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 4 4
MUAN 219N 850W X 3 3 3 9 GALVESTON TX X X X 5 5
MMCZ 205N 869W 99 X X X 99 FREEPORT TX X X X 6 6
MZBZ 175N 883W X 1 X 4 5 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 6 6
MHNJ 165N 859W X X X 2 2 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 6 6
MMSO 238N 982W X X 1 6 7 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 1 7 8
MMTM 222N 979W X X 1 6 7 GULF 29N 87W X X X 3 3
MMTX 210N 974W X X 1 5 6 GULF 28N 89W X X 1 5 6
MMVR 192N 961W X X 1 3 4 GULF 28N 91W X X 1 7 8
MMFR 185N 926W X 1 2 4 7 GULF 28N 93W X X 1 7 8
MMMD 210N 897W 41 X X X 41 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 7 8
KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X 1 8 9
MOBILE AL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X X 4 7 11
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 1PM FRI TO 1AM SAT
C FROM 1AM SAT TO 1PM SAT
D FROM 1PM SAT TO 1PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 1PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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