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TROPICAL DEPRESSION ELEVEN PROBABILITIES NUMBER 1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
10 AM CDT THU SEP 14 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 10 AM CDT...1500Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 20.0 NORTH...LONGITUDE 87.5 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 7AM CDT SUN SEP 17 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.5N 90.0W 46 X X X 46 MOBILE AL X X X 3 3
22.0N 90.3W 36 1 X X 37 GULFPORT MS X X X 4 4
22.7N 90.6W 25 2 1 X 28 BURAS LA X X 1 6 7
MUSN 216N 826W X X 1 2 3 NEW ORLEANS LA X X X 6 6
MUHA 230N 824W X X X 3 3 NEW IBERIA LA X X X 7 7
MUAN 219N 850W X 2 4 4 10 PORT ARTHUR TX X X X 6 6
MMCZ 205N 869W 99 X X X 99 GALVESTON TX X X X 7 7
MZBZ 175N 883W X X 2 4 6 FREEPORT TX X X X 7 7
MGPB 157N 886W X X X 2 2 PORT O CONNOR TX X X X 6 6
MHNJ 165N 859W X X X 3 3 CORPUSCHRISTI TX X X X 5 5
MMSO 238N 982W X X X 5 5 BROWNSVILLE TX X X 1 6 7
MMTM 222N 979W X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 85W X X X 2 2
MMTX 210N 974W X X X 4 4 GULF 29N 87W X X X 5 5
MMVR 192N 961W X X X 3 3 GULF 28N 89W X X 2 7 9
MMFR 185N 926W X 1 1 5 7 GULF 28N 91W X X 3 8 11
MMMD 210N 897W 54 X X X 54 GULF 28N 93W X X 3 8 11
KEY WEST FL X X X 2 2 GULF 28N 95W X X 1 8 9
APALACHICOLA FL X X X 2 2 GULF 27N 96W X X 1 8 9
PANAMA CITY FL X X X 2 2 GULF 25N 96W X X 3 7 10
PENSACOLA FL X X X 3 3
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 7AM FRI TO 7PM FRI
C FROM 7PM FRI TO 7AM SAT
D FROM 7AM SAT TO 7AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 7AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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