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HURRICANE FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER  21
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SAT SEP 16 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 33.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  65.2 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST TUE SEP 19 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
39.0N  57.5W      13  6  X  X 19   EDDY POINT NS      X  3  1  X  4
43.5N  53.0W       X 11  5  X 16   PTX BASQUES NFLD   X  3  3  X  6
50.0N  49.0W       X  X  9  3 12   BURGEO NFLD        X  4  4  X  8
BERMUDA           99  X  X  X 99   ILE ST PIERRE      X  6  5  X 11
SABLE ISLAND NS    1  6  1  X  8   CAPE RACE NFLD     X  5  9  X 14
SYDNEY NS          X  4  1  X  5   HIBERNIA OILFLD    X  1  9  1 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM SUN TO  2PM SUN
C FROM  2PM SUN TO  2AM MON
D FROM  2AM MON TO  2AM TUE
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM TUE
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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