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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 16
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST THU SEP 14 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM AST SUN SEP 17 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.0N 69.5W 41 8 X X 49 ST JOHN NB X X X 10 10
32.0N 66.0W X 27 6 X 33 MONCTON NB X X X 10 10
36.0N 63.0W X X 18 4 22 YARMOUTH NS X X X 10 10
BERMUDA X 13 15 X 28 HALIFAX NS X X X 12 12
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 14 14
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 3 3 SYDNEY NS X X X 12 12
NANTUCKET MA X X X 5 5 EDDY POINT NS X X X 12 12
HYANNIS MA X X X 5 5 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 11 11
BOSTON MA X X X 3 3 BURGEO NFLD X X X 10 10
PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 11 11
BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 8 8
EASTPORT ME X X X 9 9 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 4 4
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM FRI TO 8AM SAT
C FROM 8AM SAT TO 8PM SAT
D FROM 8PM SAT TO 8PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER AVILA
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