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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 15
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 PM AST THU SEP 14 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 5 PM AST...2100Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 29.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.0 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 2PM AST SUN SEP 17 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.0N 68.5W 41 8 X X 49 ST JOHN NB X X X 10 10
33.0N 65.0W X 25 6 X 31 MONCTON NB X X X 11 11
37.0N 62.0W X X 17 3 20 YARMOUTH NS X X X 11 11
BERMUDA X 25 5 X 30 HALIFAX NS X X X 13 13
MONTAUK POINT NY X X X 2 2 SABLE ISLAND NS X X X 14 14
PROVIDENCE RI X X X 2 2 SYDNEY NS X X X 13 13
NANTUCKET MA X X X 4 4 EDDY POINT NS X X X 13 13
HYANNIS MA X X X 4 4 PTX BASQUES NFLD X X X 12 12
BOSTON MA X X X 3 3 BURGEO NFLD X X X 11 11
PORTLAND ME X X X 4 4 ILE ST PIERRE X X X 11 11
BAR HARBOR ME X X X 7 7 CAPE RACE NFLD X X X 8 8
EASTPORT ME X X X 9 9 HIBERNIA OILFLD X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 2PM FRI TO 2AM SAT
C FROM 2AM SAT TO 2PM SAT
D FROM 2PM SAT TO 2PM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 2PM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
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