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TROPICAL STORM FLORENCE PROBABILITIES NUMBER 4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT MON SEP 11 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF FLORENCE WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 30.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE 72.8 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8PM EDT THU SEP 14 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
30.1N 73.9W 99 X X X 99 SAVANNAH GA X X 1 6 7
30.6N 74.2W 50 X X X 50 CHARLESTON SC X X 2 7 9
31.0N 73.5W 99 X X X 99 MYRTLE BEACH SC X 1 1 7 9
MYNN 251N 775W X X X 2 2 WILMINGTON NC X 1 1 7 9
MYGF 266N 787W X X 2 3 5 MOREHEAD CITY NC X 1 1 7 9
BERMUDA X X X 5 5 CAPE HATTERAS NC X X 1 7 8
MIAMI FL X X X 2 2 NORFOLK VA X X X 3 3
W PALM BEACH FL X X 1 3 4 FT MYERS FL X X X 2 2
FT PIERCE FL X X 2 3 5 VENICE FL X X X 2 2
COCOA BEACH FL X X 2 4 6 TAMPA FL X X X 2 2
DAYTONA BEACH FL X X 2 5 7 CEDAR KEY FL X X X 3 3
JACKSONVILLE FL X X 1 5 6 ST MARKS FL X X X 2 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM TUE
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8PM TUE TO 8AM WED
C FROM 8AM WED TO 8PM WED
D FROM 8PM WED TO 8PM THU
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8PM THU
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER STEWART
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