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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER 7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST SUN SEP 03 2000
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 19.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 57.2 WEST
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH 8AM AST WED SEP 6 2000
LOCATION A B C D E LOCATION A B C D E
21.8N 61.4W 52 X X X 52 TJSJ 184N 661W X X 1 1 2
23.0N 63.0W 27 5 1 X 33 MBJT 215N 712W X X X 2 2
24.5N 64.5W 2 18 3 1 24 BERMUDA X X X 8 8
TNCM 181N 631W X 1 1 X 2 ST THOMAS VI X X 1 1 2
TIST 183N 650W X X 1 1 2 SAN JUAN PR X X 1 1 2
COLUMN DEFINITION PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM 8AM MON TO 8PM MON
C FROM 8PM MON TO 8AM TUE
D FROM 8AM TUE TO 8AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO 8AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
FORECASTER PASCH
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