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TROPICAL STORM ERNESTO PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM AST SUN SEP 03 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM AST...0900Z...THE CENTER OF ERNESTO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.9 NORTH...LONGITUDE  55.5 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE STORM PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM AST WED SEP  6 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
21.0N  60.0W      51  X  X  X 51   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  X  1  1  2
22.5N  62.5W       9 23  1  X 33   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X  2  2
24.0N  64.0W       X 19  4  1 24   BERMUDA            X  X  X  4  4
TNCM 181N 631W     X  1  2  X  3   ST THOMAS VI       X  X  1  1  2
TIST 183N 650W     X  X  1  1  2   SAN JUAN PR        X  X  1  1  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM MON
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM MON TO  2PM MON
C FROM  2PM MON TO  2AM TUE
D FROM  2AM TUE TO  2AM WED
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM WED
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 
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