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448 
WTNT72 KNHC 221445
SPFAT2
HURRICANE DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE AUG 22 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI AUG 25 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.3N  70.3W      57  2  X  X 59   MYEG 235N 758W     X  3 21  1 25
21.5N  73.2W       1 39  X  X 40   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X 13  8 21
22.5N  75.5W       X  9 19  1 29   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  8 11 19
TNCM 181N 631W    99  X  X  X 99   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1 14 15
TISX 177N 648W    99  X  X  X 99   ST CROIX VI       99  X  X  X 99
TIST 183N 650W    99  X  X  X 99   ST THOMAS VI      99  X  X  X 99
TJPS 180N 666W    58  X  X  X 58   SAN JUAN PR       81  X  X  X 81
MDSD 185N 697W    35  1  X  X 36   PONCE PR          58  X  X  X 58
MDCB 176N 714W     2  3  X  1  6   MARATHON FL        X  X  X 14 14
MTPP 186N 724W     3 16  X  X 19   MIAMI FL           X  X  X 15 15
MTCA 183N 738W     X  7  2  1 10   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X 13 13
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  2  3  5   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 11 11
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  2  4  6   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  9  9
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  4  4   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  7  7
MUGM 200N 751W     X 13  8  1 22   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X 14  5 19   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 12 12
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1 12 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 12 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  6  6   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 11 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  9  9   VENICE FL          X  X  X  9  9
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  8  8
TJSJ 184N 661W    81  X  X  X 81   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  5  5
MDPP 198N 707W    48  4  X  X 52   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W    33 15  X  X 48   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     1 35  X  X 36   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  6 16  1 23
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 


448 
WTNT72 KNHC 221445
SPFAT2
HURRICANE DEBBY PROBABILITIES NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 AM AST TUE AUG 22 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 AM AST...1500Z...THE CENTER OF DEBBY WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 18.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE  64.4 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE HURRICANE PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8AM AST FRI AUG 25 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
20.3N  70.3W      57  2  X  X 59   MYEG 235N 758W     X  3 21  1 25
21.5N  73.2W       1 39  X  X 40   MYAK 241N 776W     X  X 13  8 21
22.5N  75.5W       X  9 19  1 29   MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  8 11 19
TNCM 181N 631W    99  X  X  X 99   MYGF 266N 787W     X  X  1 14 15
TISX 177N 648W    99  X  X  X 99   ST CROIX VI       99  X  X  X 99
TIST 183N 650W    99  X  X  X 99   ST THOMAS VI      99  X  X  X 99
TJPS 180N 666W    58  X  X  X 58   SAN JUAN PR       81  X  X  X 81
MDSD 185N 697W    35  1  X  X 36   PONCE PR          58  X  X  X 58
MDCB 176N 714W     2  3  X  1  6   MARATHON FL        X  X  X 14 14
MTPP 186N 724W     3 16  X  X 19   MIAMI FL           X  X  X 15 15
MTCA 183N 738W     X  7  2  1 10   W PALM BEACH FL    X  X  X 13 13
MKJP 179N 768W     X  X  2  3  5   FT PIERCE FL       X  X  X 11 11
MKJS 185N 779W     X  X  2  4  6   COCOA BEACH FL     X  X  X  9  9
MWCG 193N 814W     X  X  X  4  4   DAYTONA BEACH FL   X  X  X  7  7
MUGM 200N 751W     X 13  8  1 22   JACKSONVILLE FL    X  X  X  3  3
MUCM 214N 779W     X  X 14  5 19   KEY WEST FL        X  X  X 12 12
MUCF 221N 805W     X  X  1 12 13   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  X  X 12 12
MUSN 216N 826W     X  X  X  6  6   FT MYERS FL        X  X  X 11 11
MUHA 230N 824W     X  X  X  9  9   VENICE FL          X  X  X  9  9
MUAN 219N 850W     X  X  X  2  2   TAMPA FL           X  X  X  8  8
TJSJ 184N 661W    81  X  X  X 81   CEDAR KEY FL       X  X  X  5  5
MDPP 198N 707W    48  4  X  X 52   ST MARKS FL        X  X  X  2  2
MBJT 215N 712W    33 15  X  X 48   APALACHICOLA FL    X  X  X  2  2
MYMM 224N 730W     1 35  X  X 36   GULF 29N 85W       X  X  X  2  2
MYSM 241N 745W     X  6 16  1 23
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM WED
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8AM WED TO  8PM WED
C FROM  8PM WED TO  8AM THU
D FROM  8AM THU TO  8AM FRI
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8AM FRI
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER STEWART
 
 



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