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TROPICAL DEPRESSION CHRIS PROBABILITIES NUMBER   6
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM AST FRI AUG 18 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM AST...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 17.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  56.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM AST MON AUG 21 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
18.5N  59.0W      58  X  X  X 58   MTPP 186N 724W     X  X  X  4  4
19.8N  61.3W      19 15  X  X 34   MTCA 183N 738W     X  X  X  2  2
21.0N  63.7W       X 14  9  1 24   MUGM 200N 751W     X  X  X  3  3
TDPR 153N 614W     X  2  1  X  3   TJSJ 184N 661W     X  1  8  4 13
TFFR 163N 615W     X  7  3  X 10   MDPP 198N 707W     X  X  X 10 10
TAPA 171N 618W     1 13  2  X 16   MBJT 215N 712W     X  X  X 12 12
TKPK 173N 627W     X 10  4  1 15   MYMM 224N 730W     X  X  X 10 10
TNCM 181N 631W     X 13  5  X 18   MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  6  6
TISX 177N 648W     X  2  9  1 12   MYEG 235N 758W     X  X  X  3  3
TIST 183N 650W     X  3 10  2 15   ST CROIX VI        X  2  9  1 12
TJPS 180N 666W     X  X  6  5 11   ST THOMAS VI       X  3 10  2 15
MDSD 185N 697W     X  X  1  7  8   SAN JUAN PR        X  1  8  4 13
MDCB 176N 714W     X  X  X  4  4   PONCE PR           X  X  6  5 11
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM SAT TO  8AM SUN
C FROM  8AM SUN TO  8PM SUN
D FROM  8PM SUN TO  8PM MON
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM MON
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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