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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
5 AM EDT THU AUG 10 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 5 AM EDT...0900Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE  79.3 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  2AM EDT SUN AUG 13 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
29.5N  80.3W      44  X  1  X 45   WILMINGTON NC      X  X  6  9 15
30.5N  79.8W      28  1  1  X 30   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  3 11 14
31.5N  78.0W       4  9  8  2 23   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  1 11 12
MYSM 241N 745W     X  X  X  2  2   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  9  9
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  X  2  2   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  6  6
MYGF 266N 787W     4  2  2  1  9   ATLANTIC CITY NJ   X  X  X  3  3
MIAMI FL           1  1  X  1  3   MARCO ISLAND FL    X  1  1  1  3
W PALM BEACH FL    8  1  1  1 11   FT MYERS FL        2  2  1  1  6
FT PIERCE FL      22  1  X  X 23   VENICE FL          3  3  1  X  7
COCOA BEACH FL    99  X  X  X 99   TAMPA FL          11  2  1  X 14
DAYTONA BEACH FL  38  X  X  X 38   CEDAR KEY FL      12  3  1  X 16
JACKSONVILLE FL   23  2  X  1 26   ST MARKS FL        2  5  3  1 11
SAVANNAH GA        6  8  4  2 20   APALACHICOLA FL    X  3  2  1  6
CHARLESTON SC      1  7  8  3 19   PANAMA CITY FL     X  1  1  1  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  2  8  7 17   GULF 29N 85W       X  2  1  1  4
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM FRI
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  2AM FRI TO  2PM FRI
C FROM  2PM FRI TO  2AM SAT
D FROM  2AM SAT TO  2AM SUN
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  2AM SUN
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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