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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOUR PROBABILITIES NUMBER   3
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL
11 PM EDT WED AUG 09 2000
 
PROBABILITIES FOR GUIDANCE IN HURRICANE PROTECTION
PLANNING BY GOVERNMENT AND DISASTER OFFICIALS
 
AT 11 PM EDT...0300Z...THE DEPRESSION CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 28.2 NORTH...LONGITUDE  78.8 WEST
 
CHANCES OF CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION PASSING WITHIN 65 NAUTICAL MILES
OF LISTED LOCATIONS THROUGH  8PM EDT SAT AUG 12 2000
 
LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E   LOCATION           A  B  C  D  E
 
28.9N  80.1W      66  X  X  X 66   MOREHEAD CITY NC   X  X  1 10 11
29.7N  80.1W      49  1  X  X 50   CAPE HATTERAS NC   X  X  X  9  9
30.5N  79.5W      28  1  1  1 31   NORFOLK VA         X  X  X  6  6
MYNN 251N 775W     X  X  1  2  3   OCEAN CITY MD      X  X  X  2  2
MYGF 266N 787W    14  1  1  X 16   MARCO ISLAND FL    1  2  1  2  6
MIAMI FL           4  1  1  1  7   FT MYERS FL        3  3  2  1  9
W PALM BEACH FL   15  2  X  1 18   VENICE FL          2  5  1  2 10
FT PIERCE FL      29  1  X  X 30   TAMPA FL           7  5  2  1 15
COCOA BEACH FL    38  1  X  X 39   CEDAR KEY FL       5  8  2  2 17
DAYTONA BEACH FL  35  X  1  X 36   ST MARKS FL        X  4  5  3 12
JACKSONVILLE FL   17  4  2  1 24   APALACHICOLA FL    X  1  4  3  8
SAVANNAH GA        5  7  4  4 20   PANAMA CITY FL     X  X  3  4  7
CHARLESTON SC      1  5  6  6 18   PENSACOLA FL       X  X  X  3  3
MYRTLE BEACH SC    X  1  6  8 15   GULF 29N 85W       X  1  3  3  7
WILMINGTON NC      X  X  3 10 13   GULF 29N 87W       X  X  X  2  2
 
COLUMN DEFINITION   PROBABILITIES IN PERCENT
A IS PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM THU
FOLLOWING ARE ADDITIONAL PROBABILITIES
B FROM  8PM THU TO  8AM FRI
C FROM  8AM FRI TO  8PM FRI
D FROM  8PM FRI TO  8PM SAT
E IS TOTAL PROBABILITY FROM NOW TO  8PM SAT
X MEANS LESS THAN ONE PERCENT
 
FORECASTER FRANKLIN
 
 
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