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TROPICAL STORM ROSA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  12
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1900
1500Z MON NOV 06 2000
 
AT 7 AM PST...1500 UTC...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A
HURRICANE WATCH FOR THE PACIFIC COAST FROM ACAPULCO TO PUERTO ANGEL.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  98.8W AT 06/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  45 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR 345 DEGREES AT  6 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 12.8N  98.8W AT 06/1500Z
AT 06/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 12.5N  98.7W
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 13.5N  99.0W
MAX WIND  55 KT...GUSTS  65 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/1200Z 14.6N  99.0W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0000Z 15.6N  98.8W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
64 KT... 20NE  20SE  20SW  20NW.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  60SE  60SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 12.8N  98.8W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.0N  98.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1200Z 18.5N  96.5W...INLAND
MAX WIND  25 KT...GUSTS   0 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 06/2100Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
 
 
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