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TROPICAL STORM OLIVIA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER  22
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1700
2100Z SAT OCT 07 2000
  
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 112.6W AT 07/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  30 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST NORTHWEST OR 290 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  994 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  55 KT WITH GUSTS TO  65 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS..100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.8N 112.6W AT 07/2100Z
AT 07/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.6N 112.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 08/0600Z 17.1N 113.6W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 08/1800Z 17.9N 114.8W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 09/0600Z 18.9N 116.2W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.8N 112.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 09/1800Z 20.0N 117.5W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 10/1800Z 23.5N 118.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 08/0300Z
 
FORECASTER LAWRENCE
  
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