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TROPICAL DEPRESSION SIXTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   2
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1600
0900Z WED SEP 20 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR PORTIONS OF THE WEST COAST
OF MEXICO FROM ZIHUATANEJO TO MANZANILLO.

TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 103.2W AT 20/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT  2 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 17.3N 103.2W AT 20/0900Z
AT 20/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 17.2N 103.2W
 
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 17.7N 103.3W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 40NE  40SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/0600Z 18.0N 103.5W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 70NE  70SE  70SW  70NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 18.5N 103.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 17.3N 103.2W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 22/0600Z 19.0N 104.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 23/0600Z 20.0N 105.5W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 20/1500Z
 
FORECASTER AVILA
 
 
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