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TROPICAL STORM MIRIAM FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   4
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1500
1500Z SAT SEP 16 2000
 
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING IS IN EFFECT FOR THE BAJA CALIFORNIA
PENINSULA SOUTH OF LATITUDE 24 DEGREES NORTH.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.1W AT 16/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 325 DEGREES AT  7 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1004 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  35 KT WITH GUSTS TO  45 KT.
34 KT....... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.1N 108.1W AT 16/1500Z
AT 16/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 20.7N 107.9W
 
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 21.7N 108.7W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 17/1200Z 22.7N 109.8W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 18/0000Z 23.8N 111.2W
MAX WIND  45 KT...GUSTS  55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  50SE  50SW  50NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.1N 108.1W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/1200Z 25.0N 113.0W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 19/1200Z 26.5N 117.0W
MAX WIND  30 KT...GUSTS  40 KT.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 16/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
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