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TROPICAL DEPRESSION FOURTEEN-E FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   1
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1400
1500Z TUE SEP 05 2000
 
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 105.6W AT 05/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  40 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE WEST-NORTHWEST OR 285 DEGREES AT 13 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1005 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  30 KT WITH GUSTS TO  40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 16.2N 105.6W AT 05/1500Z
AT 05/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 16.0N 105.0W
 
FORECAST VALID 06/0000Z 16.6N 107.6W
MAX WIND  40 KT...GUSTS  50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE  40SE  40SW  50NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 06/1200Z 17.0N 110.0W
MAX WIND  50 KT...GUSTS  60 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 07/0000Z 17.3N 112.4W
MAX WIND  60 KT...GUSTS  75 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT... 60NE  50SE  50SW  60NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 16.2N 105.6W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 07/1200Z 17.5N 114.5W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 08/1200Z 17.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 05/2100Z
 
FORECASTER PASCH
 
 
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