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TROPICAL STORM ILEANA FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER   7
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MIAMI FL   EP1100
0900Z TUE AUG 15 2000
 
THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS ISSUED A HURRICANE WARNING FOR BAJA
CALIFORNIA FROM LA PAZ AROUND THE PENINSULA TO TODOS LOS
SANTOS...AND A TROPICAL STORM WARNING FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE
SOUTHERN BAJA CALIFORNIA PENINSULA SOUTH OF 25N LATITUDE.
 
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 108.9W AT 15/0900Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN  60 NM
 
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHWEST OR 320 DEGREES AT 10 KT
 
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE  990 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS  60 KT WITH GUSTS TO  75 KT.
50 KT....... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
34 KT....... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
12 FT SEAS.. 90NE  90SE  90SW  90NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT.  RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
 
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 21.8N 108.9W AT 15/0900Z
AT 15/0600Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 21.5N 108.5W
 
FORECAST VALID 15/1800Z 22.7N 110.1W
MAX WIND  70 KT...GUSTS  85 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT... 75NE  75SE  75SW  75NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/0600Z 23.2N 112.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
FORECAST VALID 16/1800Z 23.4N 114.1W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
64 KT... 30NE  30SE  30SW  30NW.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
34 KT...100NE 100SE 100SW 100NW.
 
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 21.8N 108.9W
 
EXTENDED OUTLOOK...USE FOR GUIDANCE ONLY...ERRORS MAY BE LARGE
 
OUTLOOK VALID 17/0600Z 23.5N 115.5W
MAX WIND  80 KT...GUSTS  95 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0600Z 23.5N 118.5W
MAX WIND  65 KT...GUSTS  80 KT.
50 KT... 40NE  40SE  40SW  40NW.
 
NEXT ADVISORY AT 15/1500Z
 
FORECASTER BEVEN
 
 
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